Hello, and welcome to the fourth edition of Predicting the Dream Team brought to you by me, FPL Texan. In this article, we preview FPL Gameweek 27.
So first off, let’s take a look at who won the third battle in GW26, myself or Foomni.
Gameweek 26 Review
|Manager||Gameweek 26 Score||H2H Score||Total Points (since GW24)|
As you can see, I have retaken the lead in another close battle!
One of my best selections was Kevin De Bruyne, who collected 10 points in Gameweek 26. If you would like to see the teams we selected for GW26, you can find the article here.
Moving onto GW27, let’s take a look at Foomni Analytics’ team and a brief explanation of their algorithm.
Foomni’s Predicted Team of the Week (Gameweek 27)
Algo is a predictive algorithm developed by Foomni Analytics, with the goal of projecting FPL player points as correctly as possible. This is Algo’s second full season, and every week it makes new projections for all players and uses them to pick that week’s Dream Team, and provide general FPL advice.
Algo’s brain is a complex system that uses the data from several previous seasons to calculate a player’s form, and then determines what factors affect a player’s form, and applies appropriate modifiers to reflect them.
If you are interested to know more about Algo’s inner workings, this is a good place to start.
It is important to note that there may be a few final changes to Algo’s team following the press conferences.
Next, we will look at my predicted team of the week and my reasoning behind each decision.
Texan’s Predicted Team of the Week (Gameweek 27)
Important note before we begin – this is not my actual team for Gameweek 26, but instead my predicted team of the week (almost as though I had a free hit to choose as I wish).
- Price = £5.3m
- Ownership = 39.2%
- Projected points = 5.57 points
Martinez again makes my team of the week this week, with a home match-up against Wolves. Martinez is coming off another strong showing last week, in which he got 12 points. Since February 1st, Wolves have ranked 6th worst in the league for xG, so another clean sheet for Villa could be on the cards.
Martinez is averaging 3.86 per game, which equates to one save point per game.
- Price = £5.2m
- Ownership = 4.3%
- Projected points = 4.15 points
Tierney faces Burnley at home this week, who are middle of the road for xG over the last month ranking 10th in the league. Tierney has been in good form as of late, leading Arsenal in xA over his last 5 games at 1.52. Since GW15, only John Stones has more FPL points per start than Tierney.
Burnley have the 7th highest xGA since February 1st, so the opportunity is there for Tierney to get a return.
- Price = £6.1m
- Ownership = 23.3%
- Projected points = 7.51 points
- Vs. Man United = 3.52 points
- Vs. Southampton = 3.99 points
Another mainstay of my team of the weeks, Dias makes the team with a double gameweek of Man United and Southampton. Last gameweek, Dias recorded 12 points. Unfortunately no clean sheets, but he did manage a goal. Dias is the most nailed option at the moment in the City defence, which is keeping numerous clean sheets this season with a league high 15.
- Price = £5.5m
- Ownership = 3.1%
- Projected points = 3.45 points
Spurs have a great matchup this week, facing Palace at home. Since February 1st, Palace are last in the league for xG at 2.84 so a clean sheet is on the cards for the spurs defence. Reguilon is also very involved in the attacking, in GW26 he scored 10 points, including an assist. Reguilon was rested in the second matchup this week, so should be fresh for this week.
I think Reguilon has a chance at a clean sheet, plus a return against a Palace team in poor form.
- Price = £6.2m
- Ownership = 37.5%
- Projected points = 9.35 points
- Vs. Man United = 4.33 points
- Vs. Southampton = 5.02 points
Gundogan makes the team of the week, with City being on another double gameweek this week. Last gameweek, Gundogan was a bit disappointing scoring only 6 points. Good news for owners is, he only played 8 minutes in the second match so he should be fresh and ready to go this week.
Gundogan is still in fantastic form, with the second highest xG in the league over the last 5 games at 3.62. The main matchup for City attackers is Southampton, who are first for xGA in the league over the last month. This bodes well for City attackers as a whole for returns in that game.
KEVIN DE BRUYNE (C)
- Price = £11.8m
- Ownership = 13.6%
- Projected points = 12.17 points
- Vs. Man United = 4.34 points
- Vs. Southampton = 7.83 points
De Bruyne is the third City player I have selected this week, and is also my captaincy choice . This isn’t a surprise considering they have a double gameweek and are in great form. Since returning from injury, De Bruyne has averaged 3 shots per game and 2.33 key passes per game in his last three starts.
As mentioned in the Gundogan section, City should have a big game against Southampton so multiple City attackers make my team of the week.
- Price = £9.5m
- Ownership = 52.8%
- Projected points = 8.14 points
Son is coming off a great double gameweek, in which he scored 14 points. This week Spurs have another great matchup, with Palace at home. Palace rank third in xGA since February 1st, so a Spurs team that is back to their early season form should be in for another good game.
Over the last five games, Son is third for xG (0.96) and first for xA (2.79) at Tottenham. This shows that when Spurs score, he’s usually involved in some way. I expect him to be involved in the scoring again this week against a poor defensive Palace team.
- Price = £5.4m
- Ownership = 9.9%
- Projected points = 6.56 points
Raphinha and Leeds face West Ham away this week. West Ham have managed just 2 clean sheets in their last 8 matches. Raphinha has been in phenomenal form as of late, leading the league in xA over the last 5 matches at 3.30
In a game which I think both teams will score, I think Raphinha has a good chance of a return.
- Price = £6.8m
- Ownership = 7.6%
- Projected points = 4.68 points
Mount is coming off an impressive gameweek 26, in which he scored 14 points. This week Chelsea face Everton at home. Everton’s defense has been quite poor since February 1st, with the 6th highest xGA. Mount is heavily involved in what Chelsea do offensively, ranked third in both xG and xA over the last 5 games for the team.
Mount is also on most set-pieces for Chelsea, making him an even more exciting pick.
- Price = £6.8m
- Ownership = 33.1%
- Projected points = 5.47 points
Kane and Spurs go up against Palace at home. Palace’s defensive woes have been well documented throughout the article, so it makes sense that I have also selected the main goal threat against them this week. Kane is coming off a solid gameweek in which he scored 8 points. Over the last 5 games, Kane leads Spurs in xG at 2.78.
I think Spurs are a great team to invest in this week, with a great fixture on paper. Hence why I have tripled up on them.
- Price = £6.5m
- Ownership = 10.9%
- Projected points = 5.83 points
Antonio is my final choice for the starting 11 this week, with a home fixture against Leeds. Leeds are not a great defensive team in terms of clean sheets, with just 2 in their last 10 matches. Antonio on the other hand is in great form, with the highest xG in the league over the last 5 games at 3.86
In a game which I expect Leeds to concede, I am backing Antonio to grab a return considering his hot form.
Man vs. Machine – Who will win?
Now you have seen our teams, who do you think will win this week? Man vs. Machine!
Will I win 2 in a row, or will Algo tie it up again?
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